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Money. Credit. Banks. Credit risks and borrower's creditworthiness (lecture notes)

Lecture notes, cheat sheets

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Credit risks and creditworthiness of the borrower

Credit risk assessment

Credit risk - the risk of late or incomplete payment of the debt and / or interest, which is expressed in the possibility of losses for the creditor.

The main reasons for credit risks:

1.negative changes in the economy of the country, region, individual city; crisis in certain industries and the economy as a whole, leading to a decrease in business activity

2. the borrower cannot achieve the planned financial result due to unfavorable changes in the business, economic, and political spheres

3. change in the market value / loss of quality of collateral (in the 1st place - collateral)

4. the possibility of abuse in the use of the loan by the borrower or his staff, including the deterioration of the borrower's business reputation.

Hence - 2 types of credit risk:

portfolio risk - associated with the quality of the bank's assets and their distribution by individual types and categories. It is divided into internal and concentration risk. Internal is associated with a specific borrower, determined by its creditworthiness. The concentration depends on what part of the loan portfolio is made up of loans of the same type by type of borrower, business size, financial position, etc.

Operational risk - associated with the state of the organization and the management of the credit process. It is determined by the quality of the credit policy, including the established standards of creditworthiness, the choice of acceptable collateral, the effectiveness of measures to ensure the return of the loan and the collection policy (collection).

Analysis of the borrower's creditworthiness.

Creditworthiness of the borrower - the ability to timely and fully repay the loan obligation, pay for the goods or return the loan amount with interest.

5 criteria for analyzing the reliability of a loan (method of five "si"):

1.character of the borrower - reputation, degree of responsibility, desire to repay the debt.

2. solvency - the ability to repay a loan.

3.capital - determination of creditworthiness, the state of receivables, etc.

4. collateral - assets that the client can provide as collateral for a loan.

5.conditions - general economic conditions that determine the business climate in the country, business development features in various sectors and regions that affect the bank and the borrower.

This information is obtained from credit files and reports from credit agencies.

Sample report about the company's creditworthiness contains:

1) balance sheet and profit and loss account, 2) ratios reflecting the company’s development trend, 3) information from banks and regular suppliers of the company about violations of loan terms, 4) description of the company’s operating conditions, 5) biography of its owners, cases of bankruptcy, litigation processes, 6) company rating, showing the level of its creditworthiness on a scale A (always fulfills obligations) - P (failure to fulfill obligations).

The 5-si methodology is supplemented by an analysis of the system of financial ratios and cash flow.

System of financial ratios - 5 groups of coefficients:

1.liquidity

2. efficiency (turnover)

3.financial leverage (leverage)

4. profitability

5.debt service.

These indicators are calculated on the basis of actual balance sheet data and other financial statements using data for a number of recent years (in practice - at least 3 years). + reports for the quarters of the current tax period and operational accounting data. An analysis of the cash flow is also carried out (the inflow and outflow of funds are compared).

Classification of borrowers by level of creditworthiness (classes).

Author: Shevchuk D.A.

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