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Robots will replace people in many professions

02.06.2017

British scientists believe that with a probability of 50%, artificial intelligence will replace a person in 45 years, and in 120 years only a computer will be used in all possible working positions.

Scientists from the Institute for the Future of Humanity at Oxford University (UK) and the Department of Political Science at Yale University (USA) have estimated the time frame when artificial intelligence will surpass the capabilities of the human mind.

Experts believe that artificial intelligence will surpass human capabilities in translating languages by 2024, writing essays after high school by 2026, completely replacing truck drivers by 2027. Retail store sales professions will disappear in 2031, writers specializing in fiction, by 2049. Surgeons will be obsolete by 2053.

The authors believe that with a probability of 50 percent, artificial intelligence will replace a person in 45 years, and in 120 years only a computer will be used in all possible working positions.

The scientists' study is based on a global survey of 352 world experts in the field of artificial intelligence. The authors of the work note that Asian scientists give more optimistic forecasts for the replacement of a person by a computer (on average - in 30 years) than North American ones (in 74 years).

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