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Artificial intelligence will predict magnetic storms

21.05.2023

Scientists have developed an algorithm that can track and predict magnetic storms every minute. Thanks to artificial intelligence, experts will have about 30 minutes before a deadly magnetic storm will cover the Earth.

The NASA team is reportedly actively applying artificial intelligence models to solar storm data to develop an early warning system. In their opinion, AI can report the planet about 30 minutes before a potentially destructive magnetic storm will cover the Earth. This time is due to the fact that light travels faster than the material ejected from the Sun. In some cases, such as in Quebec about 35 years ago, solar storms can cut off electricity for several hours.

More extreme events, such as the Carrington solar storm more than 150 years ago, could lead to widespread destruction of electrical and communications infrastructure if they occur in modern times.

Researchers have long recognized this problem and have not sat idly by. They combined data from satellites and ground stations. The created algorithm was called DAGGER - it has quite impressive characteristics compared to analogues.

Most notable is the increase in forecasting speed. AI can predict the severity and direction of a solar storm in less than a second, and is capable of making a prediction every minute, scientists say.

The development of such AI is critical as the sun approaches the peak of its 11-year cycle in 2025.

According to preliminary calculations, two more magnetic storms are expected on Earth by the end of May. The first will be no higher than 4 points, but will last for three days - from May 23 to May 25. Then on May 25, a powerful one-day magnetic storm is expected, the strength of which will reach 5 points.

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